Birth-death model

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In a chemical model, there can be any number of species and reactions. In the birth-death model used in this project, there is just one species, so we can refer to the population without ambiguity. The sole species is also referred to as A.

There are two reactions in this model:

  • Creation, or synthesis, of one A from the soup
  • Disappearance, or annihilation, of one A into the soup

The first reaction, synthesis of A, occurs with fixed probability k. The probability of the second reaction, annihilation of A, occurring is directly proportional to the population, a, of A with constant of proportionality μ.

The birth-death model is simple enough that it has an analytical solution. Both the steady-state population, and the variance in the steady-state population, are expected to be \frac{k}{\mu}. In this project, k was fixed at 5 and μ at 0.1, making the expected steady-state values of both the population and its variance equal to 50.


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